Aviation demand in Canada continues growing, both passengers and freight, compromising Paris Agreement commitments, as well as 2050 Net Zero targets. For illustration, combined emissions from two transport sectors, civil aviation and freight trucking, are set to surpass those from electricity grids by early 2025, with both continuing to increase. The most important option identified by the aviation industry is sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Technically a virtually identical "drop-in," SAF is manufactured using renewable inputs, including, prominently, oilseeds, like Canola.
Moving forward on SAF in Canada remains tricky. SAF will certainly cost somewhat more than conventional, but air carriers are constrained by bottom lines, and cannot afford excessive costs. Oilseed-based SAF is the most technically advanced and economically viable option for them, yet international standards, unfortunately, end up deferring away from and restricting such product. Potential domestic SAF producers face financing concerns and threats from excessive U.S. subsidies. They need certainty and supports. Canada's oilseed producers are caught in the midst of trade disputes, facing severe impacts. Canada overall risks losing this new industry altogether, associated value-add and jobs. This paper explores the urgency and challenges associated with SAF, as well as potential solutions to meet key stakeholder needs.